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Manage and score predictions on arbitrary topics.

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George C. Privon d1b625a549 add logarithmic scoring rule, update filename to reflect variety il y a 6 ans
code d1b625a549 add logarithmic scoring rule, update filename to reflect variety il y a 6 ans
tests 965bf8b97b fix comment for a brier unit test, add another test il y a 6 ans
.gitignore 68e0bf3fe0 initial idea il y a 6 ans
README.md 86fed2496c more specific description, explicitly note that codes must be invoked with 'racket' il y a 6 ans
config.rkt.example 68e0bf3fe0 initial idea il y a 6 ans

README.md

Prediction Tracker

Tools to maintain and interrogate a database of predictions to track forecases and outcomes.

Usage

Before using, copy config.rkt.example to config.rkt and edit it with your desired database location. Then run racket create_database.rkt to create the sqlite3 file and create the predictions table.

racket update_predictions.rkt help will provide instructions on how to add/update predictions and log outcomes. Brier scores are currently computed when outcomes are entered. More comprehensive Brier score reporting will be developed in the figure (score as a function of time, average Brier scores, etc.).

Requirements