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@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
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-#lang racket/base
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+#lang typed/racket/base
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; scoring_rules.rkt
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;
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; Compute scores for probabilistic predictions
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@@ -10,13 +10,12 @@
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; compute Brier score
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; f - forecast probability, [0, 1]
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; o - actual outcome, 0 or 1
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+(: brier-score (-> Number Number Number))
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(define (brier-score f o)
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(expt (- f o) 2))
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; compute logarithmic score
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; L(r,i) = ln(r_i)
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+(: log-score (-> Number Number Number))
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(define (log-score f o)
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- (cond
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- [(eq? o 1) (log f)]
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- [(eq? o 0) (log (- 1 f))]))
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-
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+ (+ (* o (log f)) (* (- 1 o) (log (- 1 f)))))
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